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2012-10-09 by CoinInvest

Distortions are all over the markets again – shows so many in the market really lack the conviction of their statements — FIU

And the risk markets are always hoping for Central Banks to intervene and to bail them out. This continues to look like a pyramid scheme. The latest optimism comes today from a Chinese press report suggesting that the Chinese will cut the Reserve Requirement Ratio in the coming weeks, ahead of most analysts expectations. It […]

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Central Bank, ECB, ESM, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, MBS, Pyramid Scheme, Risk Markets, Unemployment Rate, US Treasury

2012-09-20 by CoinInvest

Monetary stimulus begun to fade — FIU

The reaction to the monetary “stimulus” provided by the FOMC and the BoJ over the past week has begun to fade and will continue to do so. And whilst some continue to say that the ECB has provided additional stimulus, I will point out that they haven’t bought a single bond of any country under […]

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: China, ECB, FOMC, QEP, US Swaps, US Treasury

2012-08-31 by CoinInvest

QE3 is now ruled out for this year — FIU

Ben Bernanke’s speech is very dull but has an important paragraph near the end. “As I have discussed today, it is also true that nontraditional policies are relatively more difficult to apply, at least given the present state of our knowledge. Estimates of the effects of nontraditional policies on economic activity and inflation are uncertain, […]

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Ben Bernanke, Bonds, FOMC, QE3, US Treasury

2012-08-23 by CoinInvest

The Commodity Price Boom Is Over — FIU

“The commodity price boom is over and anyone with half a brain knows that.” so said Martin Ferguson, Australia’s Resources minister this morning. After the release of the last FOMC meeting minutes showed that the FOMC closely discussed all its options for providing more monetary stimulus. Most members, although not all, stated that they believed […]

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Australia, Fixed Income, FOMC, Martin Ferguson, QE, US, US Treasury

2012-08-08 by CoinInvest

Safe Haven Bonds — FIU

After a three day sell-off in “Safe Haven Bonds” which have seen 10yr Bund yields rise 23bp and 30yr US Treasury prices fall 5 points from Thursday’s highs some reflection needs to take place. On Friday I said that the peripheral bond markets needed to reflect that the ECB President was leaving all the hard […]

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Bonds, ECB, EFSF, ESM, Fixed Income, Mario Draghi, US Treasury

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