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Yet again the Fixed Income markets have been driven around more by sentiment and fear than by facts — FIU
The press is dominated by the timing of any reduction or cessation in the Fed’s current policy of open ended Quantitative Easing. That means that when any FOMC member makes an appearance than the first reporter’s question seems to be always as to when the Fed will be “tapering” it’s current policy. It was only […]
The Phili Fed Survey — FIU
The Phili Fed survey is now showing that deflation is indeed now a real risk in the US economy. If the Fed hadn’t announced an extension of Operation Twist last night, I would have said that they would certainly be looking at additional stimulus as soon as possible. The Survey released today had more Mid- […]
The Deflation risk continues to grow — FIU
The Deflation risk continues to grow. Yesterday’s Richmond Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey was weaker than the market consensus, and similarly to the Phili Fed survey I highlighted last week, will begin to worry the FOMC that deflation is coming back to worry the Manufacturing Industries. We are back into territory that has triggered further monetary […]
Philadelphia Fed Survey
The Philadelphia Fed survey was a shocker yesterday. The most reliable source of information on the US Manufacturing industry had plenty of weak components and now points to a contraction in the US economy -if confirmed in actual data this is a real game changer for the US Federal reserve and the US Financial markets. […]