Uncertainty is on the up again. Fixed Income markets have traded in a narrow range over the past weeks after the volatility caused by last month’s US Employment report. It has impacted the Historical Interest Rate volatility. However unlike previous declines in Historical volatilities, the Implied Volatilities over the past few days have reversed any […]
Euro-Summit Surprised
When a broad and unspecific deal is so hard come by- and some have used blackmail- it is much harder to negotiate and fill in the details. This looks like a political deal to keep Monti in power. A long-term road map towards a fiscal union, so no sign of common Eurobonds ” in Merkel’s […]
Outlook (2012-05-03)
EU Finance ministers failed to agree the implementation of the Basel III rules on all EU banks last night with the British claiming that the EU commission was watering down the rules for the “specific” benefit of French and German banks over the UK Banks. The EU Commission’s proposal comes against advice from the ECB […]
S&P not brave enough to downgrade Spain to junk yet
On Tuesday I said that Spain was set to be downgraded and overnight S&P took the decision to downgrade Spain two notches to BBB+, the outlook remains negative meaning that the chances are that another downgrade will come within 3 months as the rating agencies, once again, play catch up. Spanish bond markets have seen […]