There are continuous rumours and speculation that a Spanish bailout will be announced in the coming weeks. However there are a number of problems in this happening. Firstly the market is missing a big problem with this- there are no funds available for a bailout from the ESM. The ESM currently has €32bln in capital. […]
Poor’s downgraded the credit rating of Spain
Last night Standard and Poor’s downgraded the credit rating of Spain to BBB-, from BBB+. This came as a bit of an early surprise for the bond markets. The market was waiting on the other major bond rating company Moody’s to complete its review of its current Baa3 rating which it started in June. Rating […]
Distortions are all over the markets again – shows so many in the market really lack the conviction of their statements — FIU
And the risk markets are always hoping for Central Banks to intervene and to bail them out. This continues to look like a pyramid scheme. The latest optimism comes today from a Chinese press report suggesting that the Chinese will cut the Reserve Requirement Ratio in the coming weeks, ahead of most analysts expectations. It […]
Safe Haven Bonds — FIU
After a three day sell-off in “Safe Haven Bonds” which have seen 10yr Bund yields rise 23bp and 30yr US Treasury prices fall 5 points from Thursday’s highs some reflection needs to take place. On Friday I said that the peripheral bond markets needed to reflect that the ECB President was leaving all the hard […]
Uncertainty is on the up again — FIU
Uncertainty is on the up again. Fixed Income markets have traded in a narrow range over the past weeks after the volatility caused by last month’s US Employment report. It has impacted the Historical Interest Rate volatility. However unlike previous declines in Historical volatilities, the Implied Volatilities over the past few days have reversed any […]