After having been diverted from driving over the cliff, the US economy is now being driven down a very muddy road and after all the rain that the UK has had over the past month I certainly know how slow that makes things. A quick summary of the compromise deal that the US Senate negotiated […]
Making sense of all that is driving the financial markets is certainly not easy at the moment — FIU
The equity markets “Christmas” rally has been fuelled by the expectation of a deal to avert the US fiscal cliff and the imminent release of the next tranche of financial loans to Greece. Both of which to me seem little to cheer about. There should be a deal between the Republicans and the Democrats to […]
The election is finally over and everything remains the same — FIU
The result is being treated as a relief that the election is finally over and that there has been a clear cut result. Basically everything remains the same. So after initially selling off in Tokyo hours- US S&P 500 futures are now in positive territory after rallying 0.75% yesterday. US Treasuries- initially rallied in Asian […]
Fixed Income and the Markets-ahead of US elections — FIU
As we go into the US elections the market seems to be positioned for an Obama re-election and the latest opinion polls of the swing states seem to suggest that too. The market view seems to be that an Obama win will see 10yr US Treasury yields at 1.50% and a Romney victory would see […]
Some thoughts on Spain and a Spanish bailout — FIU
There are continuous rumours and speculation that a Spanish bailout will be announced in the coming weeks. However there are a number of problems in this happening. Firstly the market is missing a big problem with this- there are no funds available for a bailout from the ESM. The ESM currently has €32bln in capital. […]
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