It is becoming difficult to trade on fundamentals at the moment. The markets are dominated by sentiment which in itself is being driven by political noise. Firstly, the US Treasury market back up in yields has not been driven by a rise in inflation expectations as would have been expected. In fact forward inflation expectations […]
European Banks have chosen to repay 137.2bln Euro in funds — FIU
Friday’s announcement that on January 30th, 278 European Banks have chosen to repay €137.2bln in funds that they borrowed from the ECB in the first of the LTROs, spooked the European interest rate markets. Why I am not so sure. There are little risk free assets you can buy above the rate, 0.75%, at which […]
US Economy — Driving over the cliff — FIU
After having been diverted from driving over the cliff, the US economy is now being driven down a very muddy road and after all the rain that the UK has had over the past month I certainly know how slow that makes things. A quick summary of the compromise deal that the US Senate negotiated […]
Making sense of all that is driving the financial markets is certainly not easy at the moment — FIU
The equity markets “Christmas” rally has been fuelled by the expectation of a deal to avert the US fiscal cliff and the imminent release of the next tranche of financial loans to Greece. Both of which to me seem little to cheer about. There should be a deal between the Republicans and the Democrats to […]
The election is finally over and everything remains the same — FIU
The result is being treated as a relief that the election is finally over and that there has been a clear cut result. Basically everything remains the same. So after initially selling off in Tokyo hours- US S&P 500 futures are now in positive territory after rallying 0.75% yesterday. US Treasuries- initially rallied in Asian […]
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